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Key Stage 3 Probability

Experimental Probability

Use relative frequency, repeated trials and experiments to estimate probability.

Key idea

Define the possible outcomes clearly, then compare favourable outcomes with the total outcomes.

What you will learn

Use relative frequency confidently.
Use trials confidently.
Use estimates confidently.
Use fairness confidently.

Success checklist

I can explain what experimental probability means.
I can choose a suitable method without being told.
I can show clear working and check my answer.

Worked example

A fair dice is rolled. Find P(rolling a 6).

Model method

Step 1

There are 6 equally likely outcomes.

Step 2

Only one outcome is a 6.

Step 3

P(6) = 16.

Answer

16

Quick practice

Question 1

Find P(heads) for a fair coin.

Question 2

A bag has 3 red and 5 blue counters. Find P(red).

Question 3

List the outcomes for tossing two coins.

Related resources

These are linked to the wider Probability topic for now.

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